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May 2026

Navigating the 2026 Oil Price Shock: Toward a Resilient and Countercyclical Fiscal Response in the Philippines

By John Paolo R. Rivera and Dan Kenard C. Abriol

The Philippines is currently facing a significant oil price shock driven by escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which have disrupted global energy markets and led to the declaration of a State of National Energy Emergency through Executive Order 110 (Gita-Carlos 2026a).